With the end of most consequential elections in history of USA, trump returned into white house with 277 Electoral College supported, where both republican candidate Trump and Democrat presidential candidate needed 270 to win, Trump again defeated his arch rival which was again a female candidate after Hillary Clinton in 2016, but in 2024, something new was seen which was not seen in 2016, as former candidate had lost his seat, and in current elections he clearly won his own seat and also 277 seats of electoral college, this return of trump 2.0 will clearly re shape the global dynamics and plunge world into another chaos but this victory will surely give some boost up to some of the populists and demagogue politicians all around the world like wise Mr. Narendra Modi of India, Erdogan of Turkiye, and Lalo DE Silva of Brazil, as they all will welcome their persona like person in white house, but this 2.0 tenure will surely send shocking waves around the Europe and Iran.
Let’s discuss what trump 2.0 will bring for world and for America itself:
Trump and middle east: An evangelist pro-Israel President will fully return Tel AVIV’s confidence, as Trump was the person who withdrew America from Nuclear deal signed by Big 5+ Germany, and re-imposed severe sanctions on Tehran again, which left unprecedented repercussions on Tehran’s staggering and isolated economy, with the return it has been predicted by all experts on international politics, that Trump will again go the extent level to crumble Iran from within and outside (by isolating it and creating rift among its neighboring countries) and will forge further stronger ties with Israel, but for Israel it does not matter who so ever takes power in Washington, every president will succumb to pressures exhausted by IPAC (Israel American public affair committee) and Evangelist who believe that Jesus won’t return until 3rd temple is being built over demolition of Masjid-e Aqsa, as most of the people believe that only pro-Israel lobby help Israel in gaining sympathy from congress, but Evangelist also play crucial role in bringing pro-Israel policies in congress, but the middle east has dramatically changed from the time trump was the president when he introduced So-called Abrahamic accords in establishing cordial ties between Israel and key Arab states like UAE and Bahrain, his hasty move of declaring Jerusalem as Capital of Israel to recognizing Golan Heights as territory of Israel sent shocking waves throughout world in general and Muslim world in particular, since then it was being presumed that Saudi Israel re-rapprochement will soon take place, and it will eventually isolate already isolated Iran in the region, but when Biden took the charge of affairs of white house, there was seen a clear rift between relations of Saudi and USA, and the new president blamed Saudi prince MBS for alleged murder of Saudi Journalist Jamal Khasoggi in Saudi’s embassy in Turkiye, since then the relations started deteriorating which was further exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, where the Western world wanted countries to condemn Russia’s invasion of Kyiv, where it failed in gaining sympathy from the any of its middle east Muslim allies, and they continued to do business with Moscow, the last nail in the coffin was Iran Saudi deal of re-rapprochement in 2023, where both countries decided to settle down their personal and regional issues cordially and re-opened their embassies after 6 years of long time period, after this deal 7th October Hamas attack was decisive in deciding future of this volatile region, as Israel in guise of targeting Hamas “militants” brutally killed innocent civilians of Gaza and unleashed first ever recorded genocide in the history of mankind, which was condemned by every international organizations and international watchdogs, but it did not prevent Washington from providing war machinery to Israel to target civilian lives and infrastructure and usage of starvation as a weapon was condemned throughout the world, but it had zero plus zero effect on Washington’s staunch support for its hand made country in the region, now with the new president in white house, it is very likely to be sure that trump will keep supporting Israel at any cost, as he has declared in his speeches that weak Biden made stronger Hamas, and when he was in white house no country or any non-state organization attacked Israel, but also many believe that he can still push Israel for ceasefire as the main architect of 7th October attacks is martyred, but both for the Washington and Tehran the challenges are abound in the shape of greater and wider conflict and currently Israel, Hamas, Iran, Yemen and Lebanon are in state of war, and Bibi’s desire to plunge Iran into wider conflict is also there, and a new president will face problems of re constructing America’s soft power image in the world in general and in Middle east in particular, and also how to create rift b/w Saudi Arabia and Iran after its deal of 2023, there is also sigh of relief for Palestinians in ceasefire, as Gaza has been devastated completely, and only sigh of relief these innocent people can get is in ceasefire and not in anything else.
Trump- Euro -NATO AND UKRAINE: Trumphas repeatedly stated that he would end all conflicts in world, including Ukraine’s war of survival against its most influential neighbor Russia, but the cost of ending the war has not been discussed explicitly by new President, and with his take over of white House things will start further deteriorating for Europe and Ukraine will have to fight on its own soldiers and shoulders, as from the last tenure of Trump Europe saw that they cant rely or over rely on America for its security and survival, and Trump as called President Vladimir Zelonsky as the sales man, and blamed Biden’s regime for providing aid for the war which he believes is not the problem and issue of America, and he exploited this aid as he blamed Biden for sending American tax payer money in Europe, ironically he remained silent over aid given to Israel for its genocidal war in Gaza, a “selective sympathy approach”. with 2.0 Trump Ukraine will be faced with few cards left on its table to fight, as it has been widely recognized fact that Ukraine is losing battle grounds and war of attrition against Russia, and worse days are also coming for NATO as well as trump has vowed that if NATO members won’t give their share for their security then Washington under Trump won’t show any interest in safeguarding their borders, and even in a speech he said that I would tell MR Putin to attack them, from this evidence it can be said surely that Trump believes that Europe’s problems are Europe’s problem only and USA need not to intervene there, we can say that worst days are coming ahead for NATO, Europe in generally and for Ukraine in particularly.
Trump china India and Pakistan:The first issue that Trump believes is to counter china at any cost, and he is even ready to forge and maintain better ties with Moscow and Pyongyang, as he became first president to visit North Korea since cold war, so he would be doing the same to make alliance with every country and to focus on China’s growing global cloud, by imposing severe protectionist economic policies over Chinese companies, and as he before wining had hinted at imposing 60% tariffs over Chinese goods, and also will create hindrances for Chinese Electronic cars in coming to USA markets, to give some room and space for his friend’s tech giant company Tesla owned by Elon Musk, who openly supported Trump during his tenure, so he would be pursuing same strategy of imposing Tariffs on Chinese goods, but economists believe these policies will backlash and bring inflation in USA, which was also used by Trump as card that Biden administration has done nothing to reduce inflation in USA, and moreover China’s growing influence could not be reduced just by imposing tariffs over its goods, as a clear visionary strategy is needed to counter china, which is unlikely to be followed by demagogue like Trump, who is quite infamous of making hasty decisions, and Washington will have to rely over India to help in countering its foe’s influence, as for Pakistan many believe trump will help in releasing incarcerated prime minister, otherwise Washington does not need Pakistan in current chaotic world, and Pakistan could not do anything to cause harm to its all weather friend “china”, but this 4 year of new president will decide the future of this chaotic world.
Author:Fahad Hussain Chandio
Student of LL.B 4th semester at Bahria University Islamabad E-8 Campus
